Basketball Handicap Predictions
Every game we rate on the handicap market, with the probability and the best price. The spread is the number of points the favourite must win by. A side at -6.5 must win by seven or more; a side at +6.5 wins the bet by winning outright or losing by six or fewer. Half point lines never push. Whole number lines refund on an exact landing.
- 10 games rated on this market, starting today and rolling forward.
- Posted by 06:00 WAT and revised when confirmed team news lands.
- One tip per game. It names its own market rather than leaving you to work out which one it is on.
- Settled publicly. Losing calls stay on the page.
Basketball Handicap Predictions
10 games rated on this market, starting today and rolling forward, all times West Africa Time
Percentages are our win probability for each side and always total 100, because basketball cannot end level. The tip is our one call on each fixture, and it names its own market. 1 is the home side, 2 the away side, matching the percentages. A tip with no label is a straight win. Handicap 1 (-4.5) is the home side after that spread is applied, and Over / under O 229.5 is the match passing that many points. Green means the call won, red means it lost, amber means it has not settled yet. Losing calls stay on the page, which is what the accuracy record is built from. The last column shows the start time until a fixture begins, then the live score, then the final score.
How Basketball Handicap Settles
What counts, and what does not
- The line. The spread is the number of points the favourite must win by. A side at -6.5 must win by seven or more; a side at +6.5 wins the bet by winning outright or losing by six or fewer. Half point lines never push. Whole number lines refund on an exact landing.
- Overtime. Overtime counts. Every market settles on the final score including any overtime periods, so a game cannot end level.
- Pushes refund. Where a whole number line lands exactly, the stake is returned.
Settlement rules vary slightly between bookmakers. Where practice differs we say "most bookmakers"; check the rules of the one you use before placing anything.
About Our Basketball Handicap Predictions
What the market is, how we rate it, where it tends to land and how to use the page
Basketball spread predictions rate the margin rather than the winner. Favourites in basketball win far more often than in football because there is no draw and the better side has more possessions in which to prove it. That is why the straight win price on a strong home favourite is often too short to be useful and the spread is where the market lives. We rate the spread on every game we cover and list the ones where our expected margin differs from the line by enough to matter, from the card on the basketball predictions hub.
How the Line Works
The spread is the number of points the favourite must win by. A side at -6.5 must win by seven or more; a side at +6.5 wins the bet by winning outright or losing by six or fewer. Half point lines never push. Whole number lines refund on an exact landing.
How We Rate It
The spread moves on injuries more than anything else, because one star is a larger share of a basketball side than of any football side. Our rating adjusts for confirmed absences and for rest, since a side on the second night of a back to back covers less often. The method is on how we make predictions.
What Moves the Spread
In the NBA the spread is the market everything else is priced from, and the number moves through the day as injury news lands. A half point either side of the key numbers in basketball matters less than in the NFL because scoring is continuous, but a line of -2.5 against -3.5 still changes the probability by a measurable amount. The competitions that produce most of the rows here are NBA, EuroLeague, NCAA, Liga ACB.
The Other Two Markets
The straight win page rates the winner alone, and is the better market when the spread is small or the favourite is not clear. The over / under page rates the combined points and is the natural pairing when you have a view on how the game is played rather than who wins it.
How to Use This Page
The chips above the table switch market. The country and competition selects narrow the table to one competition without leaving the page. The day pills move to tomorrow or the week ahead, and the date picker goes to any day. Every row links to the full fixture page, where the analysis explains the number. When a pick settles it stays on the site with its result, and the market's strike rate on the accuracy page is calculated from that archive, losses included. The basketball predictions hub carries the same fixtures across every market.
Frequently Asked Questions
What people ask about basketball handicap predictions.