How to Judge a Football Prediction Site
Almost every prediction site claims to be the most accurate, and almost none of them publish anything you could use to check. This page is the six questions worth asking instead, and our own answers to them, including the ones that do not flatter us.
- Six checks you can apply to any site in about two minutes.
- No ranking table, because nobody pays us and we are not neutral about ourselves.
- Our own answers included, honestly, including the weak one.
- Free, like everything here.
The Six Checks
In rough order of how much they tell you.
How We Answer Them
Including the one where the honest answer is "not yet".
Record published: yes
Every settled call, won and lost, on the accuracy page, calculated from the archive rather than chosen.
Losses stay up: yes
A settled prediction is never removed or edited. Open any finished fixture and the call we made is next to the final score.
Probability shown: yes
Every prediction carries its win probability. That is the number, not a star rating or a confidence badge.
Paid tier: none
There is no payment of any kind on this site. No VIP group, no subscription, no checkout. What you see is everything we have.
Sample size: not yet
This is the weak one. Our published archive is still small. A strike rate over a few dozen settled calls has a wide confidence interval and should be treated with more caution than a rate over thousands. It grows daily, and until it is large we would rather say so than round the number up.
Reading the Usual Claims
What these phrases mean in practice.
For an outside view, Complete Sports maintains a checklist of prediction sites that covers some of the same ground. We cite it because it is one of the few that states its criteria rather than simply ranking.
About Choosing a Prediction Site
Why we will not publish a ranked list
The best football prediction site is the one whose record you can check. That is close to the whole answer, and it eliminates most of the category immediately, because a claimed accuracy figure with no archive behind it is not evidence of anything.
Why There Is No Ranking Table Here
Two reasons, and both matter. First, we are one of the sites being judged, so a table with us near the top would be worth exactly nothing to you. Second, most "top prediction sites" listings are affiliate placements sorted by commission, which is why the same handful of names appear in a different order on every one. We would rather give you the checks and let you apply them, including to us.
What a Good Answer Looks Like
A site that shows a probability on every call, keeps the losing ones published, describes its method including the parts that do not work well, and has no paid tier holding better predictions back. Those four are checkable in a couple of minutes and they are hard to fake, which is precisely why so few sites do all four. Ours are on the accuracy page and the methodology page if you want to start there.
Coverage Is a Real Differentiator
If you follow the NPFL, the Kenyan Premier League or the CAF Champions League, most of the sites in this category are close to useless to you regardless of how accurate they are on the Premier League. Depth outside Europe is worth checking before anything else.
Frequently Asked Questions
What people ask when choosing a prediction site.