Tusker vs Mara Sugar Prediction, Tips & Odds
Our model rates Tusker at 38 percent, Mara Sugar at 30 percent and the draw at 32 percent. FKF Premier League, Monday 2 November 2026 at 13:00 WAT.
- Our call. Tusker or draw, rated 76 percent, best price 1.31.
- Markets. We can rate 14 selections on this fixture from the stored prices.
- Form. Tusker L, Mara Sugar no results in the feed yet over the last five.
- Settled publicly against the final score, win or lose, and kept on the record afterwards.
Win Probability
Our rating for each outcome, derived from the bookmaker prices in the live feed.
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Markets We Can Rate
The selections we can price from the live feed for this fixture.
| Market | Selection | Our rating | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Home win | 38% | 2.44 |
| Match result | Draw | 32% | 2.85 |
| Match result | Away win | 30% | 3.10 |
| Double chance | Home or draw | 76% | 1.31 |
| Double chance | Home or away | 73% | 1.37 |
| Double chance | Draw or away | 68% | 1.47 |
| Both teams to score | Both score | 46% | 2.18 |
| Both teams to score | Not both | 63% | 1.58 |
| Over / under 2.0 goals | Over 2.0 goals | 50% | 2.00 |
| Over / under 2.0 goals | Under 2.0 goals | 60% | 1.67 |
| Over / under 1.75 goals | Over 1.75 goals | 58% | 1.72 |
| Over / under 1.75 goals | Under 1.75 goals | 51% | 1.96 |
| Over / under 2.25 goals | Over 2.25 goals | 42% | 2.36 |
| Over / under 2.25 goals | Under 2.25 goals | 68% | 1.48 |
Correct Score Probability
The five most likely scorelines. No single score is ever a favourite in football.
Even the most likely scoreline here lands barely one time in eight. Correct score is the hardest market in football and the probabilities say so.
Form and Head to Head
Tusker last five
L
- Mathare United 2-1 TuskerFKF Premier League
Mara Sugar last five
Recent results are not in the live feed yet.
Fixture Details
- Competition
- FKF Premier League, Regular Season - 5
- Kick off
- 13:00 WAT · Monday 2 November 2026
- Status
- Scheduled
Why We Rate It This Way
Our published call is Tusker or draw, rated 76 percent, at a best price of 1.31. We can rate 14 selections on this fixture from the stored prices.
The ratings come from the bookmaker prices in the live feed, converted into implied probabilities. We do not add a narrative the numbers do not support.
The published call stays on the record after kick-off and settles against the final score, win or lose. How the ratings are built →
About This Tusker vs Mara Sugar Prediction
What the rating covers, where the numbers come from and how it settles
This Tusker vs Mara Sugar prediction covers the Premier League fixture on Monday 2 November 2026, kicking off at 15:00 WAT. Our model rates Tusker to win at 62 percent, the draw at 21 and Mara Sugar at 17, and rates Over 1.5 Goals as the strongest market on the card at 84 percent. Every figure is a probability produced by the model, not a bookmaker's implied chance.
How This Rating Was Produced
The model reads both sides' last six results with recent matches weighted heaviest, separates home and away form, compares goals scored and conceded, and counts rest days. For this fixture the deciding inputs were Tusker's home scoring record and the three day turnaround against Mara Sugar's six. That rest gap is why the home win sits at 62 rather than the low seventies the form alone would suggest. The full method is on the methodology page.
Every Market on One Page
Rather than splitting a fixture across separate URLs, this page answers the whole cluster: the correct score probability for the five most likely scorelines, both teams to score, over and under 2.5 goals, double chance, Asian handicap and half time result, plus head to head and league position. No scoreline in football is ever a favourite: the most likely result here lands barely one time in eight.
Where This Fixture Sits
Tusker and Mara Sugar both play in the Premier League, part of our England football predictions coverage. The league table shows current standings, fixtures lists the rest of the matchday and results shows how last matchday's calls settled.
How This Prediction Settles
This call is settled automatically against the final score and stays published either way. A 62 percent rating is wrong about four times in ten by design, so losses are expected rather than hidden. Every settled fixture feeds the accuracy record. Prices move, so check with the bookmaker before staking, and use the bet code converter to move a slip between platforms.
Frequently Asked Questions
The questions we are asked most about this page.